NBA DFS Slate Analysis
This is an algorithmically generated breakdown of the NBA DFS main slate using the models found at Paydirt. You’ll get high level information about the most valuable players on the slate along with a handy table to use for your own lineups. For more projections and model data check out the NBA DFS Range of Outcomes and the NBA Contest Simulations.
Ceiling Data Breakdown
- Nikola Jokic (DEN, C): With a high salary of $12,200, Jokic is projected for 35.13 minutes and has a median score of 66.45. He has a 59% chance of a top finish and an 83% GPP percentage.
- LeBron James (LAL, SF/PF): Priced at $10,300, James is expected to play 34.39 minutes with a median projection of 52.3. His top finish probability is 16%, and his GPP percentage is 77%.
- Luka Doncic (LAL, PG): Doncic, with a salary of $10,600, is projected for 33.34 minutes and has a median score of 46.64. His top finish chance is 5%, and his GPP percentage is 59%.
- Tyrese Maxey (PHI, PG): Maxey, priced at $9,100, is projected to play 37.51 minutes with a median of 41.64. He has a 2% chance for a top finish, and a GPP percentage of 65%.
- Jalen Green (HOU, SG): Green, with a lower salary of $7,200, is projected for 33.99 minutes and has a median score of 39.98. His top finish probability is 1%, but his GPP percentage is relatively high at 83%, making him a strong GPP candidate due to his lower salary.
GPP Data Breakdown
- Nikola Jokic (DEN, C): Identical to Source 1, Jokic has a 59% chance of a top finish and an 83% GPP percentage.
- LeBron James (LAL, SF/PF): James has a top finish probability is 16%, and his GPP percentage is 77%.
- Jalen Green (HOU, SG): Green, with a lower salary of $7,200, has a GPP percentage is relatively high at 83%.
- Donovan Clingan (POR, C): Clingan, with a salary of $5,300, is projected for 25.38 minutes and has a median score of 31.3. His top finish probability is 0%, but his GPP percentage is very high at 89%, making him an interesting value pick.
- Jamal Murray (DEN, PG/SG): Murray, priced at $7,600, is projected to play 35.93 minutes with a median of 38.13. He has a 1% chance for a top finish, and a GPP percentage of 75%.
High Owned Data Breakdown
- Deni Avdija (POR, SF/PF): Avdija, with a salary of $6,100, is projected for 30.23 minutes and has a median score of 32.82. His top finish probability is 0%, but his GPP percentage is very high at 83%.
- Cameron Johnson (BKN, SF/PF): Johnson, priced at $5,700, is projected to play 30.98 minutes with a median of 30.09. He has a 0% chance for a top finish, and a GPP percentage of 80%.
- Jalen Green (HOU, SG): Green, with a lower salary of $7,200, has a GPP percentage is relatively high at 83%.
- Jabari Smith (HOU, PF/C): Smith, with a salary of $5,000, is projected for 33.05 minutes and has a low median score of 21.8. His top finish probability is 0%, and his GPP percentage is 56%.
- Aaron Gordon (DEN, PF/C): Gordon, with a very low salary of $4,800, is projected for 28.03 minutes and has a median score of 23.48. His top finish probability is 0%, and his GPP percentage is high at 70%.
NBA DFS Summary Table
