Welcome to the NBA Macro Minute! This is a short article focused on macro environments and trending players. The goal here is to identify easy spots to focus or remove from slates and make DFS a bit easier.
If you have any questions or comments reach out to me in the discord or over on X for some more discussion
Macro NBA Defensive Stats
- MEM leads the slate in fantasy points per minute allowed at 1.03, however, the bulk of teams tonight are all clumped pretty closely together.
- HOU is the lowest at .94 but of course they get the top matchup with MEM. With multiple Grizzlies set to miss this game the remaining guys likely pop in optos/sims but keep in mind this is not a great spot for them.
- ORL is giving up the least amount of field goal attempts per minute by a decent amount which is really the only knock on the ORL/CLE game environment.
Macro NBA Combo Stats
- Warriors at Wolves stands out as the top game environment as they play each other for a 2nd straight night. Additionally, the Warriors should be fairly thin with a number of guys already ruled out.
- Early ownership is high on GSW/MIN, however, there is some ownership edge on the value Warriors.
- CLE/ORL, also playing for the 2nd time in a row, is interesting for larger field GPPs
Trending Players
Warriors and Wolves show up heavy in the trending tables indicating you should have some exposure to that game regardless of the ownership. As noted above the value Warriors stand out.
If you want to research these dudes yourself, go over to the gamelogs tool and look into their rotations and performances!
Portfolio Analysis Exposures
When you run 1,000 lineups into the portfolio manager and do some filtering, you end up with the above results. Some notes:
- Podz looks like good chalk and there is some solid edge on Warriors value guys (put the record on repeat)
- Durant is a strong spend up option tonight
- Your starting point tonight is likely some iteration of a GSW/MIN game stack plus Kevin Durant
Thanks for reading, go grab some trophies.
