Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Khris Middleton, Andre Jackson, Payton Pritchard, Giannis, and Kristaps Porzingis. Notably, Damian Lillard is out for the Bucks and Jayson Tatum is out for the Celtics.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 3 value players complemented by 4 mid-range players and 1 star. Ownership on the high end is concentrated almost exclusively on GIannis. Based on this, Shai Glizzy, and Tyrese Haliburton are great pivots on the high end.
- Players such as Chet Holmgren, Coby White, and Derrick White are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, value plays such as Obi Toppin, Kelly Olynyk., and Corey Kispert look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Andre Jackson
Payton Pritchard
Khris Middleton
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Kristaps Porzingis
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Josh Richardson (Value)
Obi Toppin (Value)
Collin Sexton (Midrange)
Chet Holmgren (Stud)
Shai Glizzy (Premium)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be stars and scrubs with a focus on Bucks and Celtics. Thankfully, this makes it easy to get different tonight. For example, optimizers are jamming in fragile value and midrange plays from the Wizards, Hornets, and Jazz. Therefore, fading those teams and finding value and midrange players from the Heat or Thunder makes sense. Additionally, you can play some of the lower owned spend ups such as Shai and Haliburton. The Paydirt models are heavy on MIL/BOS/UTA as spots to target with secondary exposure to OKC/MIA/IND. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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