Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Vince Williams, Richaun Holmes, Santi Aldama, Kris Dunn, and Paul George. Notably, Embiid is a game-time decision and AD/Lebron are both questionable. Depending on news the ownership and value could shift dramatically. Additionally, Myles Turner has been rule out so expect Isaiah Jackson to be popular as well.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 2 value players complemented by 4 mid-range players and 2 stars. Ownership on the high end is concentrating on Trae Young, Kawhi and Paul George. Based on this, spending up for players such as Jokic, Shai Glizzy, and Tyrese Haliburton look like strong pivots.
- Players such as Cade Cunningham, Scottie Barnes, and Jalen Brunson are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, midrange plays such as Obi Toppin, Jabari Smith, and Brandon Miller look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Kris Dunn
Vince Williams
Santi Aldama
Isaiah Jackson
Richaun Holmes
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Precious Achiuwa (Value)
Isaiah Jackson (Midrange)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (Stud)
Jalen Brunson (Stud)
Nikola Jokic (Premium)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be two Centers with Isaiah Jackson and Richaun Holmes paired with Vince Williams and two $8k-9k players. Thankfully, this makes it easy to get different on the slate. While the value does look fairly strong, there are several pivot options available in the midrange. Likewise, playing any star other than Trae/Kawhi/PG will be different tonight as well. Additionally, you can pay up at C with Jokic and leverage the chalk build and the chalk spend ups. The Paydirt models are heavy on MEM/LAC as spots to target with secondary exposure to PHI/TOR/DET. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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