Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be DeAnthony Melton, Paul Reed, Khris Middleton, Peyton Watson, and Tobias Harris. Notably, Joel Embiid is out again tonight which opens up massive usage and minutes for the remaining Sixers. Additionally, there’s still pending news with the Celtics and Tatum’s status.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 1 value player complemented by 6 mid-range players and 1 star. Ownership on the high end is concentrating on Jokic and Trae Young. Based on this, Shai is a great pivot at the high end as well as Domantas Sabonis.
- Players such as Dejounte Murray, Franz Wagner, and Nic Claxton are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, value plays such as Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, and Dorian Finney-Smith look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
DeAnthony Melton
Mikal Bridges
Tobias Harris
Peyton Watson
Paul Reed
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Neemias Queta (Value)
Jalen Johnson (Midrange)
Day’Ron Sharpe (Midrange)
Scottie Barnes (Stud)
Alperen Sengun (Stud)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be balanced with scarce value and a focus on Sixers and Boston value pending news. Hawks/Kings has the highest total on the slate by far but isn’t soaking up ownership. Therefore, game stacking or at least forcing pieces from this game makes sense in GPPs. Additionally, you can pay play some of the lower owned spend ups such as Shai Glizzy, Scottie Barnes, and Alperen Sengun. The Paydirt models are heavy on BKN//TOR as spots to target with secondary exposure to PHI/BOS. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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