Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Kyle Anderson, Dennis Schroder, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Coby White, and Anthony Edwards. Notably, KAT, Trae Young, and Paolo Banchero are all out tonight. Additionally, Jalen Brunson, Zion, and CJ McCollum are questionable.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 4 value players complemented by 2 higher end mid-range players and 2 stars. Ownership on the high end is concentrated heavily on Anthony Edwards, Jayson Tatum, and Dejounte Murray. Based on this, spending all the way up on Luka or Giannis seems like a good option on the high end.
- Players such as Franz Wagner, Mikal Bridges, and Collin Sexton are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, value plays such as Cam Johnson, Cole Anthony, and Walker Kessler look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Dennis Schroder
Bogdan Bogdanovic
Coby White
Klay Thompson
Kyle Anderson
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Cole Anthony (Value)
Collin Sexton (Midrange)
Kyle Kuzma (Midrange)
Victor Wembanyama (Stud)
Luka Doncic (Premium)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be focused on a value core of Dennis Schroder/Kyle Anderson/Corey Kispert paired with popular spend-ups Dejounte Murray and/or Anthony Edwards. Thankfully, this makes it easy to get different tonight. There are leverage spots by playing lower-owned teammates on the Nets, Wizards, and Hawks. Additionally, people appear to be completely ignoring the Spurs side of the MIN/SAS game. Furthermore, you can focus on the lower-owned spend-ups such as Luka and Giannis. The Paydirt models are heavy on MIN/UTA/ATL as spots to target with secondary exposure to the Warriors. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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