Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Duop Reath, Jabari Walker, Bojan Bogdanovic, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Fred Van Vleet. Notably, Jerami Grant is out and Ayton is doubtful for Portland which leaves increased opportunity for the remaining front court options.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 3 value players under $5k complemented by 2 mid-range players and 3 stars. Ownership on the high end is concentrating on Joel Embiid. Based on this, Jokic, Shai Glizzy, and Trae Young look like strong GPP options at less ownership.
- Players such as Jimmy Butler, Alperen Sengun, and Nikola Vucevic are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, value plays like Andre Drummond, Gary Trent Jr., and Matisse Thybulle look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Fred Van Vleet
Duop Reath
Jabari Walker
DeMar DeRozan
Bojan Bogdanovic
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Dennis Smith Jr. (Value)
Andre Drummond (Value)
Royce O’Neal (Midrange)
Terry Rozier (Stud)
Luka Doncic (Premium)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be 2 Blazers, DeRozan, FVV, Bojan, and one of Embiid or Luka. However, even with this being popular you can still find ways to get different. For example, playing Blazers other than Reath and Walker. Similarly, you can opt to play Vuc or Drummond over DeRozan and take advantage of Cs versus Charlotte. Additionally, playing any superstar other than Embiid/Luka will be different tonight as well. The Paydirt models are heavy on POR/BKN/WAS as spots to target with secondary exposure to HOU/DET/CHA. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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