Welcome to the NBA Macro Minute! This is a short article focused on macro environments and trending players. The goal here is to identify easy spots to focus or remove from slates and make DFS a bit easier.
If you have any questions or comments reach out to me in the discord or over on X for some more discussion
Macro NBA Defensive Stats
- UTA is allowing the most fantasy points per minute at 1.09 which actually is a decrease from where they’ve been. Regardless, they still stink and are a prime spot to attack.
- Just as the Jazz have consistently been giving up the most FPPM, the Pistons have been giving up the fewest and remain a brutal fantasy matchup.
- CHI, WAS, ATL, and DAL are all good matchups for opposing teams.
Macro NBA Combo Stats
- UTA/ATL should be a fantasy gold mine making Jalen Johnson a premier spend up option. Additionally, because the Jazz players aren’t particularly cheap it’s keeping their ownership suppressed.
- CHI will be chalk but they’re hard to get away from. Their combined FPPM is 2nd highest on the slate and they only have 8 players available. Consider correlating with a lower-owned TOR player to offset the ownership.
- The Spurs/Mavs game is another good game environment but is getting overlooked. This is a great spot for large-field GPPs.
Trending Players
It was mentioned above that UTA was coming in under-owned despite the matchup due to their pricing, but 2 of their midrange options show up near the top of the ceiling table. Keep in mind Huerter was traded so it’s notable that only 2 Bulls show up as strong ceiling value plays tonight. Lastly, Cooper Flagg looks like a very strong option tonight.
If you want to research these dudes yourself, go over to the gamelogs tool and look into their rotations and performances!
Portfolio Analysis Exposures
When you run 1,000 lineups into the portfolio manager and do some filtering, you end up with the above results. Some notes:
- Nukic is popping up but pay attention to starting lineups, if he’s not starting just swap him with Filipowski.
- The priority Bulls look like Kawamura, Patrick Williams, and Buzelis (and Sexton if playing and not on a limit)
- Your core tonight is going to be something like 2 Bulls, Flagg, and a Jazz midrange player.
Thanks for reading, go grab some trophies.
