Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Marcus Sasser, Chimezie Metu, Amen Thompson, Zach Collins, and Donte DiVincenzo. Notably, DET is shorthanded with Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, and Isaiah Stewart are all out. Additionally, Wembanyama is out for the Spurs and Sengun is out for Houston.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 2 value players complemented by 5 mid-range players and 1 star. Ownership on the high end is concentrated on Luka, Jalen Brunson, and Devin Booker. Based on this, spending up on Jayson Tatum or Dejounte Murray seems like a good option on the high end.
- Players such as Brandon Miller, Mikal Bridges, and Jock Landale are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, value plays such as Jordan Goodwin, Day’Ron Sharpe, and Kris Murray look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Marcus Sasser
Donte DiVincenzo
Josh Hart
Chimezie Metu
Zach Collins
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Kris Murray (Value)
Day’Ron Sharpe (Value)
Brandon Miller (Midrange)
Jock Landale (Midrange)
Dejounte Murray (Stud)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be focused on a core of Sasser/Metu/Collins with a couple of Knicks. Thankfully, this makes it easy to get different tonight. One option is to play the chalk build with pivots in the value, midrange, and/or high end. Furthermore, you can focus on teams/games going over-looked like BOS/ATL, and DAL/UTA. Additionally, you can leverage the chalk teams by playing lesser-owned options like Jaden Ivey, James Wiseman, or Isaiah Hartenstein. The Paydirt models are heavy on NYK/BKN as spots to target with secondary exposure to the Blazers and Pistons. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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