Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Anfernee Simons, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Dante Exum, Cole Anthony, and Fred Saddiq Bey. Notably, Trae Young is out for ATL which opens up a ton of usage for the remaining Hawks.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 2 value players under $5k complemented by 4 mid-range players and 2 stars. Ownership on the high end is concentrating on Devin Booker and literally anyone else above $9k is a strong GPP play tonight.
- Players such as Nikola Vucevic, Pascal Siakam, and DeMar DeRozan are intriguing GPP plays. However, don’t play DDR and Vuc together. Additionally, value plays like Dennis Smith Jr., Tari Eason, and Precious Achiuwa look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Anfernee Simons
Cole Anthony
Dante Exum
Bogdan Bogdanovic
Saddiq Bey
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Dennis Smith Jr. (Value)
Tari Eason (Value)
Brandon Miller (Midrange)
Jalen Brunson (Stud)
Joel Embiid (Premium)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be 2-3 Hawks paired with at least 2 of Cole Anthony/Anfernee Simons/Dante Exum. Based on this there are several ways to differentiate tonight. For example, playing Blazers other than Simons or Hawks such as Onyeka or DeAndre Hunter. Additionally, playing any superstar other than Devin Booker will be different tonight as well. The Paydirt models are heavy on TOR/ATL/DET/CHI as spots to target with secondary exposure to ORL/POR/SAS. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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