Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Mike Muscala, Isaiah Hartenstein, Desmond Bane, Jabari Smith, and Josh Giddey. Notably, there are quite a few injury situations to monitor (i.e. Embiid) and teams such as WAS, MIA, CHA, and DAL are playing short-handed.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 2 value players complemented by 3 mid-range players and 3 stars. Ownership on the high end is concentrating on Luka at the premium tier and Alperen Sengun, Desmond Bane, and Terry Rozier on the next tier down.
- Players such as Nikola Jokic, Joel Embiid*, and Tyrese Haliburton are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, midrange plays such as Duncan Robinson, RJ Barrett, and Brandon Miller look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Isaiah Joe
Josh Giddey
Desmond Bane
Mike Muscala
Isaiah Hartenstein
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Nick Richards (Value)
Omer Yurtseven (Value)
RJ Barrett (Midrange)
Mikal Bridges (Stud)
Nikola Jokic (Premium)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be 2 value Centers with multiple stars such as Desmond Bane and Luka Doncic. Based on this there are several ways to differentiate tonight. For example, keeping a similar build but fading Isaiah Hartenstein in favor of Yurtseven or Nick Richards. Additionally, playing any superstar other than Luka will be different tonight as well. The Paydirt models are heavy on DAL/NYK/HOU as spots to target with secondary exposure to MIA/OKC/WAS. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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